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CEC issues the analysis and forecast report of national power supply and demand situation in 2019-2020

 

The electricity production runs smoothly, and electricity supply and demand balanced in 2019. The total electricity consumption of the whole society was 7230 TWh, an increase of 4.5% over the previous year. By the end of 2019, the installed capacity of power generation in China was 2010GW, and the proportion of generating capacity of non-fossil energy continued to increase; It is expected that in 2020, power consumption will continue to grow steadily, and the electricity consumption of the whole society will increase by 4% -5%. It is estimated that the installed capacity will reach 2130GW at the end of the year, of which the proportion of non-fossil energy installed capacity will continue to rise. It is expected that the power supply and demand in China will be balanced on the whole, and the power supply in some areas will be tight during peak hours.

 

Forecast of national electricity supply and demand situation in 2020

 

(1) Electricity consumption continues to grow steadily: it is predicted that in 2020, the power consumption of the whole society will increase by 4% - 5% compared with that in 2019 without the influence of large-scale extreme temperature.

 

(2) The proportion of non-fossil energy installed capacity will continue to increase: It is estimated that the newly added installed capacity in China will increase by 120 GW in 2020, of which non-fossil energy installed capacity will be about 87 GW. By the end of 2020, the installed capacity will be 2130GW, an increase of about 6%; the total installed capacity/generating capacity of non-fossil energy will be about 930 GW, accounting for 43.6% of the total installed capacity, about 1.7 percentage points higher than the end of 2019.

 

(3) Overall balance of national power supply and demand: By region, it is expected that the power supply in North China and Central China will be tight in some time periods; the power supply and demand in East China and South China will be generally balanced; the power supply capacity in Northeast China and Northwest China will see surplus.

 
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